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October 11, 2002

Edition

Weak economy causes conference to prepare

By Michael Wacht

LAKELAND — August is historically the worst month financially for the Florida Conference, according to Dr. Randy Casey-Rutland, conference treasurer. A slightly worse financial showing this August than in the past several years has caused conference leaders to start preparing for a prolonged economic slump.

“In August, we typically hit bottom between what we take in and what we spend,” Casey-Rutland said. “The difference this year is about $1.4 million…but it’s usually over $1 million. The difference is not dramatic.”

Bill Johnson, chairman of the Florida Conference Council on Finance and Administration (CF&A), said the treasurer’s office has been “monitoring the situation” on a month-to-month basis and periodically reporting to CF&A. “So far, we’re not seeing anything alarming,” Johnson said, but added that CF&A members are “apprehensive about what’s going to happen” with connectional giving.

The conference normally experiences a slowdown in connectional giving during the summer and “a big upswing” in December, according to Johnson. CF&A is not optimistic that this December will bring an increase in giving “because of the economy and what we’re hearing from local churches,” he said.

Casey-Rutland said the conference is doing “slightly worse” in its connectional giving this year, and giving is less than 1 percent lower than in recent years. “Part of our concern is about the ongoing deterioration of the economy, coupled with the increased cost of property and casualty insurance, health insurance…,” he said. “This doesn’t bode well for the short-term future of the annual conference, especially over the next six to 18 months.”

Casey-Rutland said the conference’s investments, which total approximately $30 million, have not been generating as much income as they have in the past. A small percentage is invested in the stock market, but most is invested in “income-producing instruments” like certificates of deposit and bonds, which are offering low interest rates. “These help fund things like new church starts and clergy pensions and benefit programs,” Casey-Rutland said.

The conference’s low level of cash reserves is also fueling concern. “We operate on very narrow margins,” Casey-Rutland said. “We don’t have a lot of reserves…only a fraction of what we need to sustain ourselves for any period of time.”

CF&A is now taking a closer look at the conference’s financial situation in light of the nation’s economy. “At our last meeting, we formed a task force to review what appears to be an increasing budget shortfall…and prepare recommendations for our next CF&A meeting in December,” Johnson said.

Other conference boards and agencies are also looking at ways to reduce expenses.

Casey-Rutland said conference leadership is trying to be proactive in this situation. “We need to anticipate what will happen in the next three to six months,” he said. “Crises erupt when unanticipated bad things crash down upon you. CF&A is looking at what kind of steps are needed to prepare if this [financial] trend continues. And if it doesn’t continue, we’re in good shape.”


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© 2002 Florida United Methodist Review Online